法国能源计划将对石油行业产生消极影响

据普氏能源资讯伦敦3月29日消息 周四UFIP主席Francis Duseux在巴黎举行的法国石油工业协会新闻发布会上表示，法国政府的新能源计划有可能对该国的石油工业产生非常负面的影响，更普遍的是对家庭购买力产生非常不利的影响。

在谈到新能源计划被广泛称为PPE时，Duseux赞扬了该计划的目的，但对它的许多具体目标提出了警告。他表示:“PPE不是现实主义，它太快、太昂贵、社会影响太大。”

为了在2050年实现碳中和，PPE的目标是在2012年至2028年期间法国最终能源消耗减少14％，2012年至2028年期间化石燃料的初级消耗量减少25％，可再生能力增加一倍到2028年，电力生产，可再生热量产量增加40％，以及480万乘用车可以是电动或混合动力充电。

在短期内，PPE的目标是到2023年通过高性能燃气加热或基于可再生能源的环保加热替换100万个燃油锅炉，到2020年将有120万乘用车成为电动或混合动力可再充电，20000卡车要靠燃气运行。

“PPE将增加能源成本，这将反过来影响人们的购买力，并增加公司的成本，其能源成本已达到10％左右，”UFIP总裁警告并指出十年内电力成本已经上升了35%。而在四年内，柴油和汽油的税收增加了多达0.20欧元/升。

他表示:“2006年至2008年，欧洲炼油商的平均利润率仅为27欧元/吨，与我们和中东炼油商竞争正变得越来越困难。”

然而，由于政府当局仍认为炼油部门具有战略意义，预计法国短期内不会关闭炼油厂。

吴慧丹   摘译自   普氏能源资讯

原文如下：

French energy plan is risk to oil industry; new diesel tax hike unlikely

The new French government energy plan risks having a very negative impact on the country's oil industry and more generally on households purchasing power, UFIP president Francis Duseux said during a press conference given by the French oil industry association in Paris Thursday.

Referring to the PPE [Programmation Pluri-annuelle de l'Energie] as the new energy plan is widely called, Duseux praised its purpose but warned against many of its specific targets."The PPE is not realist: it is too fast, too expensive, too much social impact," he said.

With the aim of reaching carbon neutrality by 2050, the PPE targets a 14% cut in final energy consumption in France between 2012 and 2028, a 25% reduction in primary consumption of fossil fuels between 2012 and 2028, a doubling of the capacity of renewable electricity production, a 40% increase in the production of renewable heat, and for 4.8 million of passengers cars to be either electric or hybrid rechargeable by 2028.

In the shorter term, the PPE targets the replacement of 1 million heating oil boilers by high performing gas heating or environmentally friendly heating based on renewable energy by 2023, for 1.2 million of passengers cars to be either electric or hybrid rechargeable by 2023, and 20,000 trucks to be running on gas.

"The PPE would increase the cost of energy, which will in turn impact the purchasing power of people and inflate companies' costs whose energy costs already amount to around 10%," the UFIP president warned, noting that electricity costs had already risen by 35% in 10 years, while in four years taxes on diesel and gasoline had increased by as much as Eur0.20/liter.

"The average margin for European refiners over 2006-2008 was only Eur27/mt and it is becoming increasingly hard to compete with US and Middle East refineries," he said.

However, since the refinery sector is still considered strategic by public authorities, no refinery closure is expected in France in the short term.